New York Giants 2024 Mock Off-Season
This is a
full mock off-season for the New York Giants. Sometimes you get an idea and just
have to run with it. For this mock, the objective is to provide the New York
Giants with an identity: Establish one of the best inside zone run blocking units
in the NFL. The offensive line was undoubtedly a weakness last season, but there
is a way to completely turn it around in just one singular off-season.
Along with
the objective of winning by taking the ball out of the hands of Daniel Jones, we
want to fill out the roster with high-value contracts in free agency as to not
cripple the already mediocre cap situation in upcoming years. Improving the
offense will create a good situation for a rookie quarterback either this year,
depending on how the draft falls, or next year when we inevitably cut Daniel
Jones.
Starting Point
Below is the
current state of the roster and cap situation:
Clearly,
there is work to be done.
We will
start with cuts, trades, and restructures. We will then get into internal free agency,
followed by external free agency, and culminate with the draft. All free agents
will be signed using Pro Football Focus’s Free Agent Predictions for this exercise,
and the PFF mock draft simulator will be used for the draft.
Cap Relief
We started
by cutting Mark Glowinski to save $5,682,353, resulting in only $1,500,000
in dead cap. We ideally would trade him, but figured a trade with his contract would
be disingenuous.
There was then one trade where we shipped off Darius Slayton to New England for their
fifth round pick (136). Slayton’s contract is not egregious, and Darius Slayton may already
be a significant improvement to what they currently have over there. The trade
saves us $6.4 million in cap this season.
Finally, we
restructured two players: Andrew Thomas and Bobby Okereke. Thomas is signed
through 2029 with all guarantees ending in 2027. Saving $15,228,235 this season
at the expense of roughly $3 million per year for the duration of his contract
seems like a no-brainer.
Bobby
Okereke’s restructure saves us $4,583,334, which we are converting into a signing
bonus that will be applied over the next two years as to not add void years. This one is a bit smaller, but
we are confident that he will remain a contributing member of this team for the
duration of his existing contract and have no worries regarding adding more guarantees.
We are not
extending any players who are on the last year of their deals. There is no one
other than Azeez Ojulari who would be considered, and he would likely prefer to
try and play himself into a bigger contract this season regardless.
Internal Free Agency
We are
bringing back six members of our previous roster. The two most impactful players
are Xavier McKinney and Saquon Barkley. The secondary needs stability, hence keeping Xavier McKinney, and
Saquon is a face of this franchise regardless of how the last few seasons have
gone. He is still wildly talented, and our identity is going to be rushing the ball
for the foreseeable future. While paying a safety and halfback may not be
considered the best use of resources, they both should be key contributors for
the next few seasons.
A’Shawn
Robinson, Isaiah Hodgins, Casey Kreiter, and Jarrad Davis were brought back as
well. With Kreiter and Davis not having PFF recommended contract values, they each
were paid with the Veteran Salary Benefit with the assumption that they tested external
free agency and did not get the market they desired. Here is a summary of Internal
Free Agency:
External Free Agency
External Free
Agency was a bit wild. We focused the majority of our resources on the offense,
but gave all except for one of the eleven players we signed one-year contracts. Finding
valuable depth pieces while taking shots on guys who may have lower contract demands due to previously underperforming gives
much needed upside to our roster while not locking us into too many deals that
could be detrimental to our future cap outlook. Here is a summary of External
Free Agency:
Calvin
Ridley was the only player given a multi-year contract. While he was not the number
one alpha receiver that people wanted him to be after returning from his extended absence,
$17 million per year for a player who can still heavily contribute and
immediately become our number one target in this ridiculous wide receiver market
seems like great value. Plus, we are not going to be as reliant on our passing
offense as Jacksonville was in 2023.
Gabe Davis
was our biggest one-year deal in free agency. While this may feel like
a lot for Davis, we need that bigger-bodied deep threat who can make plays when
needed. Davis did not show up to each and every game in Buffalo with the desired dominance, but we do not need
him to take on a possession role. If he can make big plays here and there across
from Calvin Ridley, then he is well worth the one-year flier.
Josh Uche
was our only other larger signing, and it is still just a seven figure contract.
Thibodeaux and Ojulari just did not hit home like they needed to last season,
so Uche coming in as a designated pass rusher should be the perfect complement
to our existing edge group.
Four
defensive backs were signed to smaller deals in hopes that one or two of them
can overperform. Jeremy Chinn, for instance, will likely be our starting strong
safety from day one. The secondary still probably needs some draft attention, but
this is an improvement from where we started since we elected to not
bring back Adoree’ Jackson.
A low-key
very important signing is Jon Feliciano. Feliciano can play any interior line
position, and was excellent in the run game this last season with San Francisco.
Perhaps this spike in performance was due solely to the scheme and players
surrounding him, but only $2 million for someone who played the way he did this
last season is a tremendous value.
The final two signings are Shelby Harris and JK Dobbins. Harris is solid rotational defensive lineman who should give Lawrence some help on the interior. Dobbins may not even make the final depth chart, but he is among the best pure runners in the NFL when healthy. If he can be even half of what he was coming out of Ohio State, then he will be an excellent addition for a very low cost.
I understand
that some of these deals are going to be very far off, but using a singular source
for contract predictions, such as PFF, helps to eliminate inherent bias towards the
players that you want to sign for the purposes of this exercise.
NFL Draft
This is where
the plan really comes to life. The plan going into the draft is to select Taliese
Fuaga at pick 11. Here is my scouting report on Fuaga: Click Here.
The thought
process is that Fuaga is a downhill mauler who can single-handedly change the
way the offense operates at the line of scrimmage in the run game. Evan Neal has
been struggling big time over his first two seasons, but he is still a giant
downhill monster who can help open up space with the right players around him.
Neal taking more than double the amount of pass blocking snaps to run blocking
snaps in 2023 did not help him either.
Fuaga can
play at either guard or tackle, and the two behemoths can get to work opening up
space on the right side for Saquon. If pick 11 roles around and Fuaga is off of
the board, then JC Latham is a good backup plan. Latham may struggle as a pass
blocker in certain schemes, but he is the best run blocking offensive lineman
in the draft behind only Fuaga, and could probably fill the same role in this offense
nearly as well. Here is my scouting report on JC Latham: Click Here.
With three
second round picks, we want to keep hammering away at positions of need now that
the offense is shaping up. When pick 39 was on the clock, we saw Jordan Morgan
staring us in the face. Morgan is a mean run blocker, and would be a menace in
this system that we are building. Is drafting two potential guards with our first
two picks great value? Not necessarily, but just take a look at this starting
offensive line:
Thomas is
on contract through 2029, Fuaga through 2028 with his 5th year option,
Morgan through 2027, John Michael Schmitz through 2026, and Neal through 2026
with his 5th year option. This line could be absolutely dominant for
a minimum of three more years if the players can live up to the expectations set for them when they were drafted.
Additionally,
backup offensive tackles are extremely valuable in today’s NFL. With Evan Neal
and Taliese Fuaga being able to play right tackle, and Andrew Thomas and Jordan
Morgan being able to play left tackle, the threat of the line severely worsening
with injury decreases drastically. If Morgan is not there when this pick is on the clock, then we could pivot to
another position with our offensive line already being much improved from last year.
Some pivot options could include Chop Robinson, Darius Robinson, or Braden Fiske to add to the defensive line, or we could just take BPA depending on how the board
fell up to this point. With our signings in free agency and drafting Fuaga in the
first round, we have the flexibility with this pick to take a good football player
who will help our team regardless of position. For this simulation, Jordan Morgan
remains the best option available. Here is my scouting report on Morgan: Click Here.
For the
second 2nd round pick, we selected Kamari Lassiter to help with the
secondary. Deonte Banks was a good pick a year ago, but he is a more of an athletic
project. Kamari Lassiter lacks the absurd physical profile of Banks, but makes up
for it in skill at the position. Lassiter is, in my opinion, the second best Cover-3
corner in the class behind Quinyon Mitchell. Him being able to come in as a
stable force as the number two across from Banks to mitigate a lot of the
variance and provide stability at the position just seems like proper teambuilding.
An alternative for this pick would be Ennis Rakestraw Jr. Rakestraw fell a bit in the eyes of the public with the combine, but still would provide a solid number two option at corner
assuming he is able to play more press coverage than what would be asked of
Lassiter. Here is my scouting report on Kamari Lassiter: Click Here.
The third
2nd round pick may be the most interesting pick of the draft. This football
team wants to win on the ground, mitigate turnovers, and play with timing to
eliminate a lot of the time-to-throw sacks and fumbles seen over the last five years.
Bo Nix is still on the board and could run this offense beautifully. Many people
don’t like him, but I personally see him as a very high floor quarterback. He can
add an RPO element to this offense, and has significantly better accuracy on short
and intermediate routes than Daniel Jones.
Bo Nix may
not become a top 5 NFL quarterback, but he is an immediate upgrade in our eyes for
this system specifically. At absolute worst, we see him as a high-end long-term
backup to anyone we bring in next. Having a backup who can come in and win football
games in this league is highly important, and the chance that he becomes
something more is worth the shot at this point in the draft with how far he has
fallen. If we really wanted to go a different direction with this pick and keep
building the foundation for next year, we may have gone with someone like Kris
Jenkins who could significantly help in run defense and start immediately at 3-4
defensive end next to Dexter Lawrence.
Our next
pick was Xavier Legette. Again, this is becoming a downhill, quick timing offense.
Legette is not the most polished route runner, but he is a mean blocker and can
take slants to the house. He is the definition of a big-bodied slot receiver,
which is a prototype that this team is lacking, and has the versatility to be a
threat on the outside with back shoulder fades, comebacks, and go routes. While
Legette is the best pick for how we envision this roster operating, some other receivers
on the board that people really like are Devontez Walker and Malachi Corley. We
feel that Jalin Hyatt and Tez Walker have redundant skill sets, and that Wan’Dale
Robinson and Malachi Corley have redundant skill sets as well. Going wide receiver here
is not 100% necessary regardless, but we still believe that Legette adds to this
roster in a way that no other player still on the board could. Here is my scouting report on Xavier Legette: Click Here.
Getting into
day three, we selected Leonard Taylor III with pick 108. We initially thought
that this pick would not be possible, but his tape in combination with a rather
poor off-season process may leave him as a day three pick. Taylor should play
well alongside Dexter Lawrence, and really help as a one-gap interior defensive
lineman on pass rush situations. Another option here could have been DeWayne
Carter, but we see Taylor as having the potential to become an every down IDL
whereas Carter is exclusively a DPR one-gap defensive lineman. If we went another direction
with this pick, it would have been Matt Goncalves to be our backup swing tackle
in the even of injury along the offensive line. Here is my pre-combine scouting report on Taylor: Click Here. He has since moved a bit down the draft board with a late third round grade since the combine.
Pick 128 is
where we really want to take the best running back available, and Trey Benson
fits our scheme perfectly. He is a big bruising back with elite contact balance
and surprisingly good speed with a 4.39 40-yard-dash. He is very hard to bring
down once he gets going, and we think that we can really open up the space to get
him going with our upgraded offensive line. We could also look at Braelon Allen,
Tyrone Tracy, or Kimani Vidal with this pick to spare Saquon Barkley when needed.
If Benson was not around, then we may have waited until our next pick at 136 to
select one of the other available backs depending on how the board fell. Here is my scouting report on Trey Benson: Click Here.
Our next
pick may seem disingenuous, so I will provide some alternative names. Cooper Beebe is oddly low on the PFF mock draft
simulator. He is clearly our pick based on how we are trying to build this offense.
He is an inside zone, downhill mauler who latches onto defenders and drives them
into the dirt. Because he likely will not be here, another player we would go with
is Isaiah Adams. Adams has a similar skill set as a downhill mauler, but lacks the
girth of Beebe. Other plays still on the board who we would consider are Zak Zinter
and Sataoa Laumea, but Beebe would be the jackpot. Either way, drafting a day
three backup interior offensive lineman would provide more long-term security to
this roster in case of injury. Here is my scouting report on Cooper Beebe: Click Here.
With pick 140,
we drafted Caelen Carson. Carson is an aggressive tone setter who flies downhill
and can stick with just about anyone in pure man coverage when he is locked in.
He does not read the quarterback well from zone or look for the ball in the
air, but his aggressive playstyle and quick feet to burst in any direction in
man coverage should make him an excellent slot corner in the NFL with potential
outside versatility. Cordale Flott was the primary slot corner in 2023, and may
have his job taken in year one by a fifth round rookie. That is how much we love
this dude. Here is my scouting report on Caelen Carson: Click Here.
At this
point in the draft, our alternative options are just going to be high upside
guys at positions where they could eventually contribute if they continue to
develop. For instance, we could look at Xavier Thomas at edge, Ben Sinnott or
Theo Johnson at tight end, or look into taking a better third down back like
Dylan Laube despite drafting Benson just a round earlier if Carson is not on the board.
Our final
pick of this draft is AJ Barner. Barner is a classic in-line tight end who can
still provide some value on every down if necessary. In order for this scheme to work as
planned, we need a stronger in-line run blocking tight end. Barner is still improving,
and may be able to provide immediate value in the run game that Bellinger does not.
In all honesty, Barner falling this far is a blessing, and we should have
invested in a more traditional in-line blocking tight end during free agency.
After the
draft , we still had fourteen roster spots to fill. Many of these players may end
up being drafted, but they were all remaining on the PFF Mock Draft Simulator at the conclusion of the draft. Below
is a summary of the draft, along with our selected undrafted free agents:
We did not
go in-depth on guarantees and prioritization of undrafted free agents with the assumption
that they would not significantly impact the existing cap space. For our UDFA
selections, we only took players who have a path to make the
53-man-roster.
Blake Watson may immediately be our best third down back, aside from Saquon of course. If Benson can show improvement in pass protection and the receiving game, then we may not even need a pure scatback. Saquon is obviously the primary third down back, but it would be beneficial to have someone else on the roster who could help on passing downs when needed. Keilan Robinson could become the RB3 on this roster if Dobbins appears to not be in a position to contribute at any point this season based on how his rehab is going in camp.
Trey Knox has
a path to overtake Bellinger as the TE3 on this roster. Matt Lee could earn a
spot as a backup guard based on the development of Jalen Mayfield and company,
although Lee admittedly does not fit our scheme very well. Ezirim and Glaze
could also earn spots as backup tackles with Joshua Ezeudu as the only remotely safe
second sting offensive tackle currently on the roster.
On the
defensive side of the ball, we picked up Cedric Johnson and Khalid Duke at edge.
The only three edge players completely locked in are Thibodeaux, Ojulari, and Uche.
The rest of the spots are open for competition, and anyone who can add an
element of run defense should have an advantage considering our current players.
Along the
interior, we added Jaden Crumedy. The defensive interior is a distinct weakness aside from Dexter Lawrence, so bringing in some additional competition could pay
off.
Dallas
Grant and Jordan Magee were added at linebacker. It is more than likely that at
least one of these players ends up making the final 53-man squad. Our depth at
the position is horrendous, so a strong showing should give each of them a good chance at winning a spot on the roster.
Finally, we
brought in Kitan Oladapo, Jarius Monroe, and Donte Kent. The secondary is up for
grabs with one-year fliers making up the majority of our depth. Oladapo even has
the opportunity to earn a starting spot at strong safety with a good enough
showing.
Summary
Below is
our final 90-man roster, and here is a link to a full visual summary: Click Here.
Overall, we
stuck to the game plan. It even went better than initially anticipated with
Jordan Morgan staring us down in the second round. After a lackluster off-season
process, it is getting more and more likely that Morgan will make it this far in
the draft.
If none of
the trades had occurred and Fuaga was drafted at pick six, then the identity of the roster
would still not change. Lassiter, Benson, and Beebe would be replaced, which is not the
end of the world. As is stands, the offense should be able to maintain continuity
and develop together over the next three years at least. Gabe Davis is the only
starting player on offense who is not on contract through at least 2026, and our future
cap situation is optimistic for having constructed a roster in this capacity.
This will
allow us to focus primarily on building the defense for the next few years if the
rookies pan out as expected. Even if they do not, minimal offensive changes
would be needed compared to the previous state of the roster. Either way, adding
playmakers on defense next season along with replacing Gabe Davis in some capacity
(or extending him if he performs well enough) should make this a well-rounded team for years
to come. The players hitting free agency next season are not high impact starters.
The most notable player with one year left on his contract who was not signed
this off-season to a one-year deal is Azeez Ojulari. The roster continuity is
very promising for future development.
Here is the
state of our cap:
While it
does not look optimal on a superficial level, there are several things to
consider:
1.
The
cap projections are probably much lower than what the cap will actually be.
2.
Daniel
Jones will be cut. This will save $19,395,000 in 2025 and $58,605,000 in 2026.
3.
We
have 39 players on contract next season, including 10/11 offensive starters and
all of our impact players on defense: Kayvon Thibodeaux, Dexter Lawrence, Bobby
Okereke, Deonte Banks, Xavier McKinney, and (hopefully) 2nd round rookie
Kamari Lassiter. All offensive and defensive players mentioned are still on contract
through 2026 as well assuming fifth year options are picked up.
All things
considered, we are thrilled with our cap management. If Bo Nix can live up to
expectations and we do not have to pay a quarterback, then this roster has the
ability to be one of the best in the league in 2025 and 2026 with the cap space
to bring in some real difference-makers next season. We would have the means to
sign a true number one wide receiver and draft an edge rusher in the first round,
or vice versa. While rookie quarterbacks don’t win Super Bowls, this team is
ready to compete and still has significant room to improve once Bo Nix has a full
season under his belt.
Post-Exercise Critiques
I like
doing these mocks for just about every team when given the opportunity so that I can
fully understand the state of the roster from an outside perspective, or at
least have a firm grasp on team needs. While this one was one of my favorite outcomes,
there are definitely areas that could be altered based on preference.
Changing the
entire path of a franchise with our fourth pick and not trying to get a potential
top-5 NFL quarterback may be a mistake. The quarterbacks who perennially win
Super Bowls are guys like Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady. Because the purpose of
this exercise was to see what the team would look like with a new and improved offensive
line, I was never going to draft a first round rookie quarterback in this mock.
What may have been better to avoid becoming a perpetual 10-7 team is drafting
Kris Jenkins with pick 47, then assume that we will draft our franchise
quarterback via trade up or with our existing first round pick. This would
improve biggest theoretical weaknesses on the roster and potentially give us
a higher upside quarterback next season.
The
downside to this is that it would even further delay our winning window. Again,
rookie quarterbacks do not win Super Bowls. Our roster is built to win for the
next three years before some significant changes will be needed, and we are not
in the best position to pay a top-of-the-market quarterback next
off-season if any even become available. I am content with the route we took based
on who was available at the time, but understand why it may be a less popular
opinion.
Another area
we could have addressed more thoroughly is linebacker. Denzel Perryman is a fine
addition, but he is not a coverage linebacker. Okereke is solid in coverage, but
we may get eaten up over the middle of the field, especially with our lack of
depth if Okereke goes down.
We completely revamped the offense and will focus more on the defense next season assuming the rookies pan out. If Bo Nix is clearly not the answer, we still are in a position to go get one in the 2025 NFL Draft. If all goes well, then we should be able to shine a positive light back on Brian Daboll and legitimately compete in a tough division for years to come.
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