Could the Eagles Take Caleb Farley with Pick 6?
Most Eagles fans would be extremely disappointed if they drafted Caleb Farley with the sixth overall pick in the 2021 NFL draft. In most mocks, there are five common prospects that are projected to the Eagles ahead of Farley. These prospects are Ja’Marr Chase (WR), DeVonta Smith (WR), Jaylen Waddle (WR), Micah Parsons (LB), and Kyle Pitts (TE).
A valid argument could be made for any one of these guys,
but the Eagles might just be better off drafting Farley. The acquisition of
this outside cornerback could improve their entire defense in a way that no player at any other position could.
Before discussing the defensive scheme in Philadelphia to
see why he could make such an impact, let us first examine Farley as a player.
Caleb Farley is a top five overall prospect on many draft boards. This is not
because of his college production, but because of his overall potential in the
NFL.
The
Talent
Farley is an incredible athlete who was converted from wide
receiver in 2019. After making the switch to cornerback, he expressed
incredible technique for someone so new to the position and made first team All-ACC. It appeared as if he
would improve with each and every game. An intelligent athlete who has elite
physical traits at 6’2” 197lbs with the ability to make game-changing plays as
an ex-WR is all a franchise could ever desire in a CB prospect.
Farley has incredible burst for an athlete of his size, and
thrives in man and press coverage. After his conversion to CB in 2019, he opted
out of the 2020 season. While he did not play throughout 2020, it is obvious
that he possesses overwhelming talent. Sitting out may have even been
beneficial to him physically as there was little opportunity for further
injuries.
The Scheme
Why is this skillset so valuable for the Eagles? They
already have Darius Slay, so why draft a corner with a top six pick? Unfortunately, one cornerback is not enough. You could have the best CB
in the world, but teams are just going to pass towards the other guy.
The next best guys playing cornerback on their team
currently are Nickell Robey-Coleman and Avonte Maddox. Robey-Coleman and Maddox
are both better suited as slot corners at 5’8” and 5’9” respectively. They
also did not play well in 2020 receiving Pro Football Focus grades of 51.1 and
37.8 respectively as well. There has been talk of Jalen Mills moving back to corner
under the new coaching staff, but that really does not seem like the best
solution.
Regardless of which scheme a defensive coordinator prefers,
he needs the personnel to execute it proficiently and effectively. Jonathan
Gannon primarily ran cover 2 in Indianapolis, but has been known to adapt based
on personnel in the past as well. For those of you less familiar, cover 2 consists
of two safeties at relatively even depths of the field and zone coverage across
the board. While generally effective, there need to be playmaking safeties as
well as corners who are solid in zone coverage to be successful.
Darius Slay is currently the best piece in their secondary, and is historically
far worse in zone than in man coverage. The safeties on the Eagles are an average unit at best, and not sufficient enough to line up as two-high at a respectable level of play. No good defensive
coordinator is going for force a system when there are zero personnel who would
perform better because of it.
This is where Farley comes into play. Many of the secondary
issues could be fixed if Gannon instilled a cover 1. For those of you less
familiar, cover 1 relies on a single-high safety while the corners play in man
coverage. The other safety can then move freely to assist in coverage (whether to double-man or pick up a dropped coverage), or push downhill to assist
against the run.
Rodney McLeod has experience playing single-high, and is likely the
best safety on the team regardless. An issue with cover 1 is that you usually
need multiple talented corners in order to pull it off. Slay is far superior in
man coverage than zone, and Farley has the potential to be a lock-down option on the other
side of the field. Even slot corners Robey-Coleman and Maddox would likely
improve if the secondary was shutting teams down more as a unit.
This is why drafting Farley would have an immediate affect
on team performance. They currently are missing a crucial outside CB2 after
Slay, so they cannot run cover 1 with as much success. They do not have the
personnel with the appropriate skillsets to run cover 2 regardless of the
upcoming draft selections, so Farley remains the best option. If he lives up to
expectations, the Eagles could have one of the better secondaries over the next
couple of years.
Comparing
CB to Other Positions of Need
Based on this logic, Farley seem like the obvious choice.
Unfortunately, cornerback is not the most glaring team need with strict regard
to personnel.
The greatest team need according to most is at linebacker. The linebacking
core is abysmal consisting entirely of players who could likely not win a
starting role on most other teams. While it may be considered the least
important position on defense, solid linebackers are desperately needed in Philadelphia.
Micah Parsons is commonly mocked to the Eagles with pick six
as the best linebacker in the 2021 draft class. He is a physical specimen who takes great
angles and knows how to edge rush when needed (which is also an area upon which
the Eagles could improve). While this seems like the best fit, off-ball
linebackers are generally not drafted as top ten picks for a reason.
The positional importance is too low to warrant such high draft capital.
While they certainly need to address the position, drafting a prospect such as Moses,
McGrone, or Surratt in the third round would be beneficial and open up pick six for a
more important positional need. Anyone following the Eagles knows that they
already do not like investing high draft capital on linebackers. While this is
a new regime, I do not see that tendency changing.
The second biggest team need is at wide receiver. The Eagles
spent the sixth most money in the NFL on the wide receiver position in 2020,
but that did not go so well. Alshon Jeffrey and DeSean Jackson are out the door
leaving Reagor as the number one option.
While none of Travis Fulgham, J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, or Greg
Ward are going to be the most reliable options, there is enough WR depth in this draft
class to hold off until rounds two or three. Kadarius Toney, Terrace Marshall Jr.,
or even Rondale Moore may drop to their second pick. Caleb Farley plus any of those
three is a significantly better combination of players than any first-round wide
receiver and second-round outside corner. First-round wide receiver
picks in back-to-back years are extremely uncommon either way.
Defending Jalen Reagor
Many people are writing Reagor off as a bust. If this is
true and he has no value, then throw this article in the trash because the
Eagles need a legitimate number one option. Allow me to defend Jalen Reagor and his role in
the Philadelphia offense before you make any final decisions.
First, Reagor was never going to break out year one. He ran
only four unique routes at TCU, then proceeded to get injured in training camp.
With COVID protocols decreasing time spent at camp along with the injury, he
never really had the opportunity to progress.
Second, Nick Sirianni loves condensed and three tight end sets.
Reagor’s specialty in college was getting the ball in open space on the field
side of heavy sets, and using his track background to make plays. In the "mesh concept" used so frequently in Indianapolis, wide receivers often received the ball within five yards of the line of scrimmage. They drafted Parris Campbell to be their open-field playmaker (who unfortunately got injured before the 2020 season began). In
Philadelphia, Reagor will likely be used that same way in this new offensive system.
It is very possible that Reagor doubles his target totals in
2021. If he is receiving more targets and Hurts is at quarterback, then it is almost
foolish to put a first-round investment into another wide receiver. Hurts
definitely needs more options than just Reagor and Goeddart, but he also has
the ability to scramble when needed. Investing heavily in an option that may be
underutilized by design seems like a relative waste of a first-round pick.
Cap Space
Many different positions clearly need to be addressed, but the
Eagles are not in the best place to acquire big ticket free agents. They
currently have $-33,961,468 in cap space (30th in the NFL), so they
are not in a position to offer any big contracts. If they were to spend money
on anyone of note, I could see them replacing Ertz with a cheaper veteran TE. Goeddart
is great, but with Ertz likely on the way out, they will need a replacement for
all of their two and three TE sets. Again, this can be addressed later in the
draft as well, so there is not a need to spend a first-round pick on Kyle Pitts
like many are mocking, but I digress.
Farley is likely better in man coverage than any FA veteran
CB that the Eagles can afford. They already have enough depth, so there is no need
to necessarily acquire too many more mediocre secondary pieces. Linebacker and
wide receiver are both positions at which they could use more depth and veteran
presence as well, so they are more likely to fill some of those holes in any
way that they can afford to do so.
Final
Thoughts
The Eagles have many glaring team needs this off-season.
While most mock drafts project them taking a wide receiver, linebacker, or
tight end with pick six, I believe that Farley would have a greater impact than
any other individual player.
While the argument to draft a true number one wide receiver
is compelling, the 2021 draft class is deep at that position. The difference between Farley and the cornerbacks projected to be selected on day two is
significantly greater than the difference in wide receiver talent between day one and day two. Philadelphia
fans may not like him as much as a shiny new offensive weapon, but do not be
surprised if the Eagles select Caleb Farley with the sixth overall pick of the
2021 NFL draft.
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